Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 2358 · LAS → OMA
departs 7:48 AM PT · arrives 12:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OMA that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
LAS is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at LAS that day
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.