Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2622
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 2622 · MCI → DEN
departs 11:23 AM CT · arrives 12:12 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14 45%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 13%
Sat 10/17 7%
Sun 10/18 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
11am departures from MCI are usually not late
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.35 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.