Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3342
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 3342 · PHL → STL
departs 7:39 PM ET · arrives 9:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 42%
Mon 10/19 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from PHL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.