Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 15
WN 972 · BWI → CHS
departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 10:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 7%
Wed 10/14 6%
Thu 10/15
Fri 10/16 10%
Sat 10/17 9%
Sun 10/18 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
BWI is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at CHS that day
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CHS (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.