tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1401 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AA 1401 · BOS → DFW

departs 6:19 PM ET · arrives 9:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 102h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
52% chance · ±23 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    47%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.