tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 384 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 384 · JAX → PHL

departs 7:05 AM ET · arrives 9:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.