Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COPA · FLIGHT CM 809SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
CM 809 · PTY → JFK
departs 7:39 AM EST · arrives 1:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 133h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
21%chance · ±10 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.