Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1504
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 16
DL 1504 · PIT → ATL
departs 5:45 AM ET · arrives 7:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 4%
Wed 10/14 4%
Thu 10/15 4%
Fri 10/16
Sat 10/17 5%
Sun 10/18 4%
Mon 10/19 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 333 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PIT that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Fridays in October are usually busier than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from PIT are usually not late
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 333 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.26 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.