Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 4451 LANDED 2:27 PM ET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 16 Today

G4 4451 · PHF → BDL

took off 1:32 PM ET · landed 2:27 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BDL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into BDL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHF (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

BDL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 4451 · PHF → BDL

Odds over time