tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5200 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OH 5200 · MKE → PHL

departs 6:07 AM CT · arrives 9:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
17% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.