Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1258 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1258 · ORD → LGA

departs 8:59 AM CT · arrives 12:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±15 pts +20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.