Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1912 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 16

UA 1912 · LAX → DEN

departs 8:47 AM PT · arrives 12:13 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1912 · LAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?