Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 337 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 16

UA 337 · DEN → MFR

departs 11:20 AM MT · arrives 1:05 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MFR?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MFR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 337 · DEN → MFR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFR?