tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 9, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 3987 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

YV 3987 · CMH → IAD

departs 10:31 AM ET · arrives 12:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 134h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.