Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2270 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

AA 2270 · DFW → OMA

departs 5:03 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±5 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8.33333 mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2270 · DFW → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?