tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 07:00 TUL → 11:11 LGA
    DL 4631 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 11m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 LGA → 14:20 ATL
    DL 990 · Delta · 2h 21m · 83% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 20mTUL 07:00 to ATL 14:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.