tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:00 BNA → 09:32 LGA
    DL 4638 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 32m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 LGA → 12:14 CLE
    DL 5045 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 20mBNA 06:00 to CLE 12:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.