tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sarasota/Bradenton via New York: arrives on time 62%

  1. 06:00 BNA → 09:32 LGA
    DL 4638 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 32m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 LGA → 13:33 SRQ
    DL 2412 · Delta · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 8.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (8.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 34mBNA 06:00 to SRQ 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.