tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Orlando via Detroit: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:10 HPN → 19:15 DTW
    DL 4643 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 05m · 69% on time, 7.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:58 DTW → 23:34 MCO
    DL 1123 · Delta · 2h 37m · 63% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (7.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 25mHPN 17:10 to MCO 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.