tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:38 HPN → 14:28 DTW
    DL 4645 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 50m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind White Plains). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 42mHPN 12:38 to MSP 17:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.