tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 33%

  1. 14:25 CMH → 16:14 LGA
    DL 4649 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 62% on time, 12.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:27 LGA → 19:19 BNA
    DL 5002 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 54m · 62% on time, 15.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (12.5% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (15.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 56mCMH 14:25 to BNA 19:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.