tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 23%

  1. 14:25 CMH → 16:14 LGA
    DL 4649 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 62% on time, 12.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 LGA → 19:10 ORD
    DL 2503 · Delta · 3h 10m · 62% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (12.5% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 45mCMH 14:25 to ORD 19:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.