tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Washington via New York: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:25 CMH → 16:14 LGA
    DL 4649 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 62% on time, 12.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LGA → 18:58 DCA
    DL 5717 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 62% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (12.5% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 33mCMH 14:25 to DCA 18:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.