tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Fort Lauderdale via Detroit: arrives on time 44%

  1. 12:37 ORF → 14:43 DTW
    DL 4653 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 06m · 60% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:56 DTW → 19:00 FLL
    DL 1037 · Delta · 3h 05m · 66% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 24mORF 12:37 to FLL 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.