tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 63%

  1. 13:53 BNA → 17:39 JFK
    DL 4662 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 46m · 71% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 JFK → 23:23 ORF
    DL 5326 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 54m · 71% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 30mBNA 13:53 to ORF 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.