Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Nashville: arrives on time 54%

  1. 11:30 JFK → 13:13 BNA
    DL 4662 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 43m · 73% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:03 BNA → 16:46 DTW
    DL 1557 · Delta · 1h 44m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 17mJFK 11:30 to DTW 16:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.