Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Long Beach via Nashville: arrives on time 30%

11:30 JFK → 13:13 BNA

DL 4662 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 43m · 73% on time, 4.8% cancelled
1h 35m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
14:48 BNA → 17:02 LGB

WN 1427 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.

Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).

Total trip8h 33mJFK 11:30 to LGB 17:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.