tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:05 BUF → 07:30 LGA
    DL 4670 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 27m · 87% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 LGA → 13:33 TPA
    DL 2195 · Delta · 2h 52m · 79% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 27mBUF 06:05 to TPA 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.