tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:05 BUF → 07:30 LGA
    DL 4670 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 27m · 87% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 LGA → 10:31 ORD
    DL 2985 · Delta · 2h 46m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 26mBUF 06:05 to ORD 10:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.