tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Houston via Detroit: arrives on time 61%

  1. 09:17 MDW → 11:35 DTW
    DL 4674 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 DTW → 14:30 IAH
    DL 1864 · Delta · 3h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 13mMDW 09:17 to IAH 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.