tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Providence via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:17 MDW → 11:35 DTW
    DL 4674 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:15 DTW → 16:16 PVD
    DL 4040 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 74% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 59mMDW 09:17 to PVD 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.