tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Richmond via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 09:17 MDW → 11:35 DTW
    DL 4674 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 DTW → 16:21 RIC
    DL 4096 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 46m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 04mMDW 09:17 to RIC 16:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.