tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → Detroit via New York: arrives on time 50%

  1. 16:46 CHA → 18:59 LGA
    DL 4675 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 14m · 76% on time, 17.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:10 DTW
    DL 1014 · Delta · 2h 10m · 70% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (17.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 24mCHA 16:46 to DTW 23:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.