tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:30 CVG → 17:30 LGA
    DL 4682 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 02m · 73% on time, 5.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 LGA → 21:56 TPA
    DL 2433 · Delta · 3h 15m · 62% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (5.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 40mCVG 15:30 to TPA 21:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.