tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Indianapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 59%

  1. 13:26 MDW → 15:44 DTW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:42 DTW → 19:00 IND
    DL 5034 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 34mMDW 13:26 to IND 19:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.