tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hebron via Detroit: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:26 MDW → 15:44 DTW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:32 DTW → 17:49 CVG
    DL 5060 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 17m · 76% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 23mMDW 13:26 to CVG 17:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.