tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Austin via Detroit: arrives on time 59%

  1. 13:26 MDW → 15:44 DTW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:35 DTW → 18:41 AUS
    DL 1612 · Delta · 3h 08m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 17mMDW 13:26 to AUS 18:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.