tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 67%

  1. 13:26 MDW → 15:44 DTW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 DTW → 19:08 MSP
    DL 1842 · Delta · 1h 58m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 42mMDW 13:26 to MSP 19:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.