tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 13:26 MDW → 15:44 DTW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 DTW → 20:12 LAX
    DL 852 · Delta · 4h 52m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 46mMDW 13:26 to LAX 20:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.