tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Milwaukee via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 13:26 MDW → 15:44 DTW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 18m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DTW → 18:09 MKE
    DL 3675 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 19m · 63% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 43mMDW 13:26 to MKE 18:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.