tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 62%

  1. 14:05 ATW → 16:30 DTW
    DL 4696 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 25m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DTW → 20:31 ORD
    DL 1665 · Delta · 1h 31m · 66% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 26mATW 14:05 to ORD 20:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.