tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 14:05 ATW → 16:30 DTW
    DL 4696 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 25m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 DTW → 19:59 LAS
    DL 544 · Delta · 4h 19m · 70% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 54mATW 14:05 to LAS 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.