tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:25 TYS → 19:14 DTW
    DL 4697 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 49m · 66% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DTW → 23:41 LGA
    DL 2603 · Delta · 1h 51m · 74% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 16mTYS 17:25 to LGA 23:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.