tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 68%

  1. 15:59 TYS → 17:43 DTW
    DL 4698 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:24 DTW → 22:59 DCA
    DL 2073 · Delta · 1h 35m · 70% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 00mTYS 15:59 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.