tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Grand Rapids via Minneapolis: arrives on time 40%

  1. 19:06 MDW → 20:51 MSP
    DL 4713 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 45m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 MSP → 23:59 GRR
    DL 1711 · Delta · 1h 19m · 77% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 3h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip3h 53mMDW 19:06 to GRR 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.