Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 33%
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19:06 MDW → 20:51 MSPDL 4713 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 45m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:42 MSP → 23:50 SFODL 2089 · Delta · 4h 07m · 61% on time, 0.6% cancelled
Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 43mMDW 19:06 to SFO 23:50, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.