tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Bozeman via Minneapolis: arrives on time 52%

  1. 19:06 MDW → 20:51 MSP
    DL 4713 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 45m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:23 MSP → 23:52 BZN
    DL 2954 · Delta · 2h 35m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 52mMDW 19:06 to BZN 23:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.