tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 50%

  1. 10:25 TVC → 11:36 DTW
    DL 4721 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 11m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 DTW → 16:34 DCA
    DL 1454 · Delta · 1h 35m · 51% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 09mTVC 10:25 to DCA 16:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.