tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 13:59 TYS → 15:08 ATL
    DL 4724 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 09m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:58 ATL → 18:09 MIA
    DL 1323 · Delta · 2h 11m · 63% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 10mTYS 13:59 to MIA 18:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.