tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:59 TYS → 15:08 ATL
    DL 4724 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 09m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ATL → 17:40 MCO
    DL 1742 · Delta · 1h 40m · 57% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip3h 41mTYS 13:59 to MCO 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.